HyreSolar

Research

Research methodology

How the numbers on this site are produced, what we derive ourselves, and how to tell the difference, so a figure can be traced back to what was counted, in which year, against what denominator.

Last updated

The short version. Our state-level figures are computed from Form EIA-861, the census every US electric utility files. Each number is labeled as source data, a HyreSolar calculation or a HyreSolar interpretation, and carries its retrieval date.

Which sources does HyreSolar use, in what order?

HyreSolar works down this list and stops at the highest tier that answers the question. Where no tier supports a claim, we publish the shorter page without it.

  1. Federal agency data. EIA, DOE, IRS and the statute itself. First choice for anything quantitative or legal.
  2. State agency rules. Energy offices, utility commissions, revenue departments and licensing boards.
  3. Utility filings and tariffs. What a specific utility charges and pays, which can differ from the state-level summary.
  4. Research institutions. National laboratories and academic work, where a question needs analysis we cannot do ourselves.
  5. Manufacturer documentation. Datasheets and warranty documents, for equipment specifics.

We do not build figures from other content sites, marketplace quote data or installer marketing material.

Why does Form EIA-861 carry the analysis?

Form EIA-861 is a legal filing obligation for every electric utility operating in the United States. That makes it a census rather than a sample: no sampling error and no participating-company bias.

Form EIA-861 records residential sales, revenue and accounts; net-metered installations and capacity; batteries paired with them; metering and demand response; and reliability, utility by utility and year by year. We use the 11 annual releases from 2014 to 2024, downloaded as the published archives and extracted by script.

EIA does not publish the arithmetic between those columns: no official share of households with rooftop solar, battery attachment rate, consumption per account, or state ranking. Those are the figures we compute, across all 51 jurisdictions.

How is every figure labeled?

  • Source data. A figure reported directly by the named source, unmodified. Example: EIA reports 5,077,543 residential net-metered installations in 2024.
  • HyreSolar calculation. Arithmetic we performed on source data; EIA publishes the inputs, not this output. Example: installations divided by residential accounts.
  • HyreSolar interpretation. What we think a figure means: an argument, not a measurement, labeled so you can disagree with it. Example: that adoption tracks retail price more closely than sunshine.

We never present our own calculation as an official statistic, or an interpretation as a measurement.

How was the derivation checked?

The check is external. Our residential price derivation (revenue divided by sales, per state per year) reproduces EIA’s own published state price series across 357 overlapping state-years to within 0.005¢/kWh. EIA rounds to two decimal places, so that difference is rounding.

Every consumption, bill and penetration figure we publish is built from the same quantities and inherits that validation.

Which dates does every figure carry?

  • Retrieved date. When we took the data from the source. On every dataset.
  • Data vintage. Which release the figures come from. Final releases only: mixing in partial early releases produces a break that looks like a finding.
  • Last reviewed. When a person last checked the page, not when it was generated.
  • Effective date. On anything time-sensitive, such as an incentive or a statutory change, with the source that establishes it.

What rules apply to cost figures?

A price is the figure most likely to be read as a promise, so cost figures carry stricter rules than the rest of the site. Each published cost cell (one price for one system type, size or region) must meet all of these:

  1. At least 12 quotes per cell. A range or median is published only when it rests on twelve or more sourced, dated price observations for that exact cell. Fewer than twelve and the cell is left out, not estimated.
  2. Every observation is sourced. Each one traces to a named source: a published dataset, a filed tariff or program report, or a dated written quote.
  3. Every observation is dated. We record when each price was quoted or published and when we retrieved it. The page shows the retrieval date and the date range the cell covers.
  4. No interpolation. A state or system-size figure is never derived by scaling a national average. If the local data does not exist, the page says so.
  5. The n is shown. The number of observations behind a cell is published beside it, so a reader can weigh a range of 12 differently from a range of 300.

This standard applies to cost tables from October 2026. A cost figure that does not meet it is removed or flagged when its page is next reviewed, and substantive changes are recorded in the corrections log.

What limits apply to every figure?

  • Net-metered systems only. Capacity under buyback, feed-in or utility-owned arrangements sits on a separate schedule and is excluded from installation counts.
  • Accounts, not buildings. Penetration counts residential electricity accounts, which are not identical to households or dwellings.
  • Means, not medians. The source has no median, so averages are pulled upward by a small number of large systems.
  • Small populations swing. Where counts are low, ratios move on small absolute changes. Read the count alongside any rate.
  • The data lags. By about two years. It describes a market that has moved since.
  • A market is not your house. No figure we publish is an estimate for your property, tariff or tax position.

What happens when HyreSolar is wrong?

HyreSolar publishes figures so they can be checked. If you find an error, tell us the page and the number. We check it against the source and either correct it in place or explain why it stands. The editorial policy covers independence and corrections.

Can I cite or reuse this work?

Yes, with attribution to HyreSolar and a link to the page you took it from. The data downloads give the underlying tables as CSV, and the research hub lists every study.

What are the standing sources?

Questions people ask

Why does HyreSolar use EIA-861 rather than industry figures?
Form EIA-861 is the annual report every US electric utility must file, so it counts the same thing the same way in every state. Industry figures can rest on member reporting with uneven coverage. EIA-861 lags by about two years, and that lag is the price of comparability.
What is the difference between a HyreSolar calculation and a published statistic?
A published statistic is a number as its source published it. A HyreSolar calculation is arithmetic on published figures: a rate, a rank, a share, a per-customer average. Every calculated figure is labeled as one, and the operation is stated so it can be reproduced from the source.
How often is the underlying data updated?
When the source releases a new edition, not on a fixed calendar. EIA-861 publishes annually with a lag, so a current page can still show a two-year-old data year. The reviewed date changes only when something on the page substantively changed.
Can I get the underlying data?
Yes. The data page generates two CSV downloads at build time from the same dataset the pages read, so the file and the page cannot disagree. Derived columns are labeled as HyreSolar calculations in the file header.